Sunday, 26 January 2020

Football Betting System - Day 2

Football Betting System - Day 2

Always nice to kick off the selections with a positive day but it's days like today where you really need your balls. Strap in and cross those legs for an upset or two!

Lay - Leverkusen - 10pts @ 1.41 -4.10
Lay - Verona - 7pts @ 1.68 -4.76
Lay - Vitesse - 5pts @ 1.52 +4.90


Daily P&L: -3.96 pts
Jan P&L: -1.06 pts
2020 P&L: -1.06 pts


P.S. The matches below qualified as selections apart from being under the price limit of 1.35 which is not profitable long-term. However, these teams do lose and maybe worth laying with a progressive laying system such as Fibonacci, with a sequence of 1, 1, 1.5, 2, 2.5, 3.5, 5, 6.5.


Fibonacci Selections

11:30 - Lay - Inter @ 1.33 +1
14:00 - Lay - Lyon @ 1.32
15:45 - Lay - PSV @ 1.30 +1

Jan P&L+1.96 pts

This gives you 8 chances to not lose money at laying teams that have been priced to win approx 74% of the time. The proposed staking would be:


Sequence Liability Odds Stake Win
1 £7.00 1.35 £20.00 £19.60
2 £7.00 1.35 £20.00 £12.60
3 £10.50 1.35 £30.00 £15.40
4 £14.00 1.35 £40.00 £14.70
5 £17.50 1.35 £50.00 £10.50
6 £24.50 1.35 £70.00 £12.60
7 £35.00 1.35 £100.00 £17.50
8 £45.50 1.35 £130.00 £11.90
Total £161.00 1.35 £460.00 £14.35






Saturday, 25 January 2020

Football System - How quick can I lose 25pts system

Morning,

95% of people who bet lose money. FACT.

This system may not be the exception to the rule either but historic results insist it might.

It's a simple enough system, I lay favoured European home teams in the hope that the home bias has overpriced the team in question.

Starting with £500 / 25pts at £20 a point. I'll progressively up the stakes when the bank grows to 50 points.

Max Winnings can be up to 10 points per game / Max Liability is no more than 5pts.

All lays will be done on Smarkets or Matchbook for 2% commission


25/01/20 Selections

Lay - Motherwell - 3pts @ 2.30 +2.94
Lay - Charleroi - 2pts @ 1.84 - VOID
Lay - Monaco - 3pts @ 1.68 +2.94
Lay - Saint Etienne - 4pts @ 1.81 -3.24
Lay - Brest - 4pts @ 2.16 -4.64
Lay - Sparta Rotterdam - 3 pts @ 1.62 +2.94
Lay - Sevilla - 7pts @ 1.42 -2.94
Lay - Wolfsburg - 5pts @ 1.80 +4.90

Let's go :-)


P&L: +2.90 pts / £58.00